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D-Day: March 31st, 2025 - The Day Bitcoin Could Break Everything
TL;DR: March 31, 2025, is the date to watch. Why? MicroStrategy’s Q1 earnings—under new FASB accounting rules—will reflect Bitcoin’s fair market value as of that exact day. A strong BTC close could unlock a financial chain reaction that reshapes institutional exposure to Bitcoin and sends the price vertical. The New Rule That Changes the Game Starting Jan 1, 2025, public companies can finally use fair value accounting for Bitcoin. Before this? Only impairments (losses) could be reported, even if the price rebounded later. Gains were invisible unless sold. Now? Companies like MicroStrategy (MSTR) can show unrealized gains every quarter. This isn’t a small change—it transforms BTC from a "weird accounting liability" into a visible asset on income statements. Why March 31st Is D-Day Q1 2025 closes on March 31. That date locks in the price of Bitcoin for MicroStrategy’s books. If BTC is trading at $92K–$95K on that day? MicroStrategy posts one of its biggest quarters ever. That would make 4 consecutive profitable quarters, qualifying it for S&P 500 inclusion. That’s the endgame. What Happens If They Get In? If MicroStrategy gets added to the S&P 500: Massive forced buying from passive index funds and ETFs. Those funds don’t care about valuation—they have to buy. This pumps MSTR’s stock price. Saylor has even more ammo to buy more BTC. It’s a loop: BTC goes up → MSTR earnings go up → S&P 500 adds MSTR → Index funds buy MSTR → MSTR buys more BTC → BTC goes up... Saylor’s Likely Move: March 25–31 He’s already raised $500M in convertible debt. ATM (at-the-market stock selling) has been slowed down. He’s not dollar-cost averaging. He’s waiting. Best guess? He pushes a massive Bitcoin buy in the final week of March, spiking price into quarter-end. A psychological + mechanical play: Creates bullish optics. Locks in favorable accounting. Triggers financial dominos. Front-runs S&P 500 eligibility. This guy isn't just stacking sats—he’s playing chess 3 moves ahead. Why It Matters for Bitcoin This isn't about MicroStrategy anymore. This is about BTC becoming the de facto corporate reserve asset. If Saylor pulls it off: BTC gets embedded in the S&P 500 via MSTR. Legacy finance can’t ignore it anymore. Institutions get dragged in, whether they like it or not. The scarcity narrative goes from meme to mandate. This could send BTC past 100K faster than anyone expects. Street debut—through the side door. submitted by /u/zzseayzz [link] [comments]
| | TL;DR: March 31, 2025, is the date to watch. Why? MicroStrategy’s Q1 earnings—under new FASB accounting rules—will reflect Bitcoin’s fair market value as of that exact day. A strong BTC close could unlock a financial chain reaction that reshapes institutional exposure to Bitcoin and sends the price vertical.
Starting Jan 1, 2025, public companies can finally use fair value accounting for Bitcoin. Before this? Only impairments (losses) could be reported, even if the price rebounded later. Gains were invisible unless sold. Now? Companies like MicroStrategy (MSTR) can show unrealized gains every quarter. This isn’t a small change—it transforms BTC from a "weird accounting liability" into a visible asset on income statements.
Q1 2025 closes on March 31. That date locks in the price of Bitcoin for MicroStrategy’s books. If BTC is trading at $92K–$95K on that day? MicroStrategy posts one of its biggest quarters ever. That would make 4 consecutive profitable quarters, qualifying it for S&P 500 inclusion. That’s the endgame.
If MicroStrategy gets added to the S&P 500: Massive forced buying from passive index funds and ETFs. Those funds don’t care about valuation—they have to buy. This pumps MSTR’s stock price. Saylor has even more ammo to buy more BTC. It’s a loop:
He’s already raised $500M in convertible debt. ATM (at-the-market stock selling) has been slowed down. He’s not dollar-cost averaging. He’s waiting. Best guess? He pushes a massive Bitcoin buy in the final week of March, spiking price into quarter-end. A psychological + mechanical play: Creates bullish optics. Locks in favorable accounting. Triggers financial dominos. Front-runs S&P 500 eligibility. This guy isn't just stacking sats—he’s playing chess 3 moves ahead.
This isn't about MicroStrategy anymore. This is about BTC becoming the de facto corporate reserve asset. If Saylor pulls it off: BTC gets embedded in the S&P 500 via MSTR. Legacy finance can’t ignore it anymore. Institutions get dragged in, whether they like it or not. The scarcity narrative goes from meme to mandate. This could send BTC past 100K faster than anyone expects. Street debut—through the side door. [link] [comments] |
![[link]](https://i.redd.it/r7rzejyc82re1.png){kind=link}