I'm Betting $150K on Bitcoin + IBIT LEAPS to Make $1M by 2027 — Here’s Why It’s the Easiest Trade of the Decade

I'm Betting $150K on Bitcoin + IBIT LEAPS to Make $1M by 2027 — Here’s Why It’s the Easiest Trade of the Decade I’ve never seen a more asymmetric bet in my life. I’m deploying $150,000 into deep in-the-money LEAPS on IBIT (BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF), specifically the $30 strike expiring in Jan 2027. These are trading close to intrinsic value and provide direct, leveraged exposure to BTC’s upside with limited time decay risk. If Bitcoin hits $400,000 by 2027 — which I believe is extremely realistic — I’m not just a millionaire… I’m making multiples of that. Here’s the macro backdrop fueling this conviction: M2 Money Supply Is Expanding Again After being flat or shrinking post-2022, M2 is back on the rise. The Fed can’t keep tightening in the face of fiscal dominance, growing deficits, and the coming wave of entitlement spending. As M2 rises, it dilutes the value of fiat and strengthens hard assets like Bitcoin. BTC follows M2 long-term. Period. The Rate-Cutting Cycle Is Beginning The Fed is boxed in. Recession risks are creeping in, inflation is stickier than expected, and debt servicing is exploding. Once they pivot to rate cuts, risk assets will rip. Historically, Bitcoin bottoms before rate cuts and rallies aggressively afterward. 2020 deja vu. Governments, States, and Institutions Are Quietly Adopting BTC BlackRock, Fidelity, and Ark now hold billions in spot BTC ETFs. El Salvador is just the beginning — we’re going to see more state-level BTC adoption or integration as legal tender or treasury asset. U.S. States like Wyoming and Texas are pushing pro-Bitcoin legislation. Sovereigns will accumulate BTC as a reserve hedge against USD weakness. The Real Estate & Traditional Finance Bros Are Waking Up I’m seeing it firsthand — builders, developers, and real estate guys are finally getting orange-pilled. They’re tired of inflation, red tape, and fragile systems. Bitcoin is the digital gold hedge they can self-custody. It’s no longer just tech bros — it’s moving mainstream. Bitcoin Is Oversold on Noise, Not Fundamentals Recent tariff headlines and macro jitters caused a short-term selloff, but let’s be clear: Bitcoin is not a tariffed asset. The market overreacted. Fundamentals haven’t changed: Supply shock post-halving incoming Institutional inflows accelerating Long-term holders at ATHs No coins for sale Why IBIT LEAPS Instead of Spot BTC or Futures? Tax advantage: no short-term capital gains like futures More accessible for TradFi IRAs and accounts Lower margin requirement than futures Massive upside with capped downside risk At a $150K bet, I’m looking at tens of thousands in profit for every $10K BTC moves up. If we hit $250K BTC, I’m in the seven figures. This Is the Easiest Money I’ve Ever Seen I’m not trading meme stocks, I’m not chasing altcoins. I’m making a calculated bet on the hardest money known to man — at a moment when global fiat systems are buckling under their own weight. Bitcoin is inevitable. Let’s see where we are in 2027. I’ll update y’all then. (Feel free to AMA in the comments.) submitted by /u/NoNinja5359 [link] [comments]

Apr 6, 2025 - 19:12

I’ve never seen a more asymmetric bet in my life.

I’m deploying $150,000 into deep in-the-money LEAPS on IBIT (BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF), specifically the $30 strike expiring in Jan 2027. These are trading close to intrinsic value and provide direct, leveraged exposure to BTC’s upside with limited time decay risk.

If Bitcoin hits $400,000 by 2027 — which I believe is extremely realistic — I’m not just a millionaire… I’m making multiples of that.

Here’s the macro backdrop fueling this conviction:

M2 Money Supply Is Expanding Again

After being flat or shrinking post-2022, M2 is back on the rise. The Fed can’t keep tightening in the face of fiscal dominance, growing deficits, and the coming wave of entitlement spending. As M2 rises, it dilutes the value of fiat and strengthens hard assets like Bitcoin.

BTC follows M2 long-term. Period.

The Rate-Cutting Cycle Is Beginning

The Fed is boxed in. Recession risks are creeping in, inflation is stickier than expected, and debt servicing is exploding. Once they pivot to rate cuts, risk assets will rip.

Historically, Bitcoin bottoms before rate cuts and rallies aggressively afterward. 2020 deja vu.

Governments, States, and Institutions Are Quietly Adopting BTC

BlackRock, Fidelity, and Ark now hold billions in spot BTC ETFs.

El Salvador is just the beginning — we’re going to see more state-level BTC adoption or integration as legal tender or treasury asset.

U.S. States like Wyoming and Texas are pushing pro-Bitcoin legislation.

Sovereigns will accumulate BTC as a reserve hedge against USD weakness.

The Real Estate & Traditional Finance Bros Are Waking Up

I’m seeing it firsthand — builders, developers, and real estate guys are finally getting orange-pilled. They’re tired of inflation, red tape, and fragile systems. Bitcoin is the digital gold hedge they can self-custody.

It’s no longer just tech bros — it’s moving mainstream.

Bitcoin Is Oversold on Noise, Not Fundamentals

Recent tariff headlines and macro jitters caused a short-term selloff, but let’s be clear: Bitcoin is not a tariffed asset.

The market overreacted. Fundamentals haven’t changed:

Supply shock post-halving incoming

Institutional inflows accelerating

Long-term holders at ATHs

No coins for sale

Why IBIT LEAPS Instead of Spot BTC or Futures?

Tax advantage: no short-term capital gains like futures

More accessible for TradFi IRAs and accounts

Lower margin requirement than futures

Massive upside with capped downside risk

At a $150K bet, I’m looking at tens of thousands in profit for every $10K BTC moves up. If we hit $250K BTC, I’m in the seven figures.

This Is the Easiest Money I’ve Ever Seen

I’m not trading meme stocks, I’m not chasing altcoins. I’m making a calculated bet on the hardest money known to man — at a moment when global fiat systems are buckling under their own weight.

Bitcoin is inevitable.

Let’s see where we are in 2027. I’ll update y’all then.

(Feel free to AMA in the comments.)

submitted by /u/NoNinja5359
[link] [comments]